2016
All respondents25.3%
Eligible unweighted n = 4,190 Research / ANESVoter Observatory
Sources ↓AMERICAN VOTER OBSERVATORY · INDEPENDENT UA.T ANALYSIS
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Explore the evidence →2008–2024 studiesCDF release: February 5, 202622 population views
WEIGHTED DESCRIPTIVE ESTIMATE
Expect the national economy to improve
Share of substantive responses in the specified answer category.
Population: ANES eligible-voter survey population; race, age and other subgroups include respondents whether or not they report voting.
Uncertainty is not estimated here. No confidence intervals or significance tests are available from this subset. Results with fewer than 30 eligible responses are suppressed.
2008 asks the unconditional outlook item only in the standard-question split sample (questionnaire F2a, split E of E/F); the other split receives candidate-conditional questions.
2020
All respondents44.5%
Eligible unweighted n = 8,204 2024
All respondents33.9%
Eligible unweighted n = 5,207 | Year | Population | Estimate | Eligible n | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | All respondents | 25.3% | 4,190 | Descriptive estimate |
| 2020 | All respondents | 44.5% | 8,204 | Descriptive estimate |
| 2024 | All respondents | 33.9% | 5,207 | Descriptive estimate |
INSPECT THE EVIDENCE
2024 · All respondents
Full CDF sample includes fresh respondents, the 2016–2024 panel and paper questionnaires; item availability varies by mode.
- Result
- 33.9%
- Eligible unweighted n / subgroup n
- 5,207 / 5,521
- Weight
- VCF0009z (annual variable V240107a)
- Weighted denominator
- 5199.3969 · not a count of people in the population
- Interview wave
- pre
- Subgroup missingness
- All respondents retained before item and weight exclusions.
Inspect excluded responses
item_code_9: 69 · NA, including 2008 cases outside the standard-question split; combined code cannot be separateditem_code_blank: 245 · Not available or not administered
Combined source missing codes cannot be separated into finer reasons.
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START WITH A QUESTION, NOT A VERDICT
Three useful ways in.
Economic outlook across elections
Compare the same substantive answer across five studies; inspect the 2008 split sample.
Open this view →Party divides in democratic satisfaction
Compare Democratic and Republican identifiers, including leaners, in 2024.
Open this view →Why trust stops in 2012
See the boundary between a documented series and an unsupported continuation.
Open this view →